Prediction of Chen Dong vs Toufik Sahtali at M15 Monastir 11-21-25

• How do their second serve performances compare? Over the last six months, Chen Dong has a slight advantage with a 43.59% win rate on second serve points, compared to Toufik Sahtali's 42.25%.
• In terms of returning games, who holds the edge? Toufik Sahtali excels, winning 49.46% of opponent’s second serve points, surpassing Chen Dong's 44.70%.
• When it comes to first serve returns, Toufik Sahtali holds a marginal lead with 27.70% over Chen Dong’s 26.77%.
• Under pressure, Toufik Sahtali is more resilient, saving 55.93% of breakpoints versus Chen Dong’s 50.71%.
• Over the past year, overall match win percentages favor Toufik Sahtali at 60.27% against Chen Dong’s 55.81%.
• Both players perform best on hard courts, equally having a 59% win record on this surface.
• Direct head-to-head encounters show Chen Dong has won their only meeting, bagging both sets in their encounter.
• Chen Dong tends to play against slightly lower-ranked opponents, with an average ranking of 311.4 compared to Toufik Sahtali's opponents, ranking at 283.73 on average.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Chen Dong has a narrow advantage, winning 64% of such sets within the past year, slightly better than Toufik Sahtali's 63%.
• Finally, in terms of breakpoint conversion, Chen Dong has shown slightly better efficiency, converting 36.73% of opportunities compared to Toufik Sahtali's 35.27%.

Editorial Prediction (November 21, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the recent performance metrics suggests a closely contested match between Chen Dong and Toufik Sahtali. Chen Dong displays a slight edge in second serve performance and breakpoint conversion.

On the other hand, Toufik Sahtali excels in return games and has a marginally better percentage of matches won over the past year, as well as a slight advantage in handling pressure situations indicated by breakpoints saved.

Although historically, Chen Dong has triumphed in their previous encounter, the data points to a well-rounded capability on both sides. Given the nuances, this match could very well hinge on key moments and adaptability.

Toufik Sahtali, with his overall match win rate and resilience under pressure, appears slightly more favored to win the upcoming match. However, considering Chen Dong's head-to-head win and breakpoint efficiency, predicting the winner remains challenging.